Research
Working Papers and Work in Progress
The Price of Order: How Violent Crime Weakens Democracy
(with Anderson Frey) — [pdf] Media: Folha de São Paulo
Electoral Results Affect Beliefs About the Past: Evidence from Chile
(with Nicolás Ajzenman and Patrício Dominguez) — [pdf]
The Autocracy Bandwagon: Political Selection and Autocratic Consolidation
(with Guadalupe Tuñón) — [email for wp]
Political Outsiders
(in preparation, with Natalia Garbiras-Diaz)
Ideology First: Physicians in Bolsonaro’s Brazil
(in preparation, with Horacio Larreguy and Letícia Nunes)
Peer-Reviewed Publications
“Special Interest Trade-Offs: Campaign Finance Reforms and Religious Influence in Politics in Brazil”
(with Melani Cammett and Guadalupe Tuñón) — Journal of Politics, forthcoming. [pdf accepted manuscript]
“Bolsonaro’s Botched Coup Attempt Exposed Political Fault Lines in the Brazilian Democracy”
(with Diego Werneck Arguelhes) — Revista de Ciencia Política, 2024. [pdf]
“The Violence of Law-and-Order Politics: The Case of Law Enforcement Candidates in Brazil”
American Political Science Review, 2024, 118(1), 1–20 (lead article). [pdf], [dataverse]
🏆 Recipient of the 2024 Olavo Brasil Jr. Prize, Brazilian Political Science Association.
Media: Blog Faces da Violência, Época, Ponte, Vice.
“Media Manipulation in Young Democracies: Evidence from the 1989 Brazilian Presidential Election”
(with Alexsandros Cavgias, Raphael Corbi, and Luis Meloni) — Comparative Political Studies, 2024, 67(2). [pdf], [dataverse]
“Commodity Shocks and Incumbency Effects”
(with Luis Schiumerini) — British Journal of Political Science, 2022, 52(4), 1689–1708. [pdf], [dataverse]
“Disloyal Brokers and Weak Parties”
American Journal of Political Science, 2018, 62(1), 84–98. [pdf], [dataverse]
Chapters in Edited Volumes
“The New Left in Broker-Mediated Party Systems”
(with Thad Dunning) — in Kapiszewski, Levitsky and Yashar (eds.) The Inclusionary Turn in Latin American Democracies, Cambridge University Press, 2021. [pdf]
Peer-Reviewed Publications, in Portuguese
“The Effect of Re-election on Health Expenditures: An Analysis of the Reputation-Building Model”
(with Enlinson Mattos) — Brazilian Review of Political Economy (Revista de Economia Política), 2010, 30(1), 140–158. [pdf]
“Scale Economies in the Supply of Health Services: A Study of São Paulo Municipalities”
(with Paulo Arvate, Enlinson Mattos, Veronica Orellano, and Fabiana Rocha) — Revista ANPEC, 2009, 10(2), 357–386.
Non Peer-Reviewed
Comunicando Incertezas (with Pedro Burgos), 2021.
In Machado, Laura Mueller (org.) Legado de uma Pandemia. Autografia.
Mexico Centennial: Limited Independence, Limited Democracy (with Sinaia Urrusti-Frenk), 2010.
Berkeley Review of Latin American Studies.